THE LIMITATION OF CLOUD-BASE MASS FLUX IN CUMULUS PARAMETERIZATION AND ITS APPLICATION IN A HIGH-RESOLUTION MODEL     

徐道生  陈子通  钟水新  温焰军  谢东东 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2015,21(S1):11-22

A large area of unrealized precipitation is produced with the standard convective parameterization scheme in a high-resolution model, while subgrid-scale convection that cannot be explicitly resolved is omitted without convective parameterization. A modified version of the convection scheme with limited mass flux at cloud base is introduced into a south-China regional high-resolution model to alleviate these problems. A strong convection case and a weak convection case are selected to analyze the influence of limited cloud-base mass flux on precipitation forecast. The sensitivity of different limitation on mass flux at cloud base is also discussed. It is found that using instability energy closure for Simplified Arakawa- Schubert Scheme will produce better precipitation forecast than the primary closure based on quasi-equilibrium assumption. The influence of the convection scheme is dependent on the upper limit of mass flux at cloud base. The total rain amount is not so sensitive to the limitation of mass flux in the strong convection case as in the weak one. From the comparison of two different methods for limiting the cloud-base mass flux, it is found that shutting down the cumulus parameterization scheme completely when the cloud-base mass flux exceeds a given limitation is more suitable for the forecast of precipitation.  相似文献   

三种非线性回归逐时气温预报比较订正   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

梁立为  尹洁  马振富  周开鹏  彭振华 《气象科技》2015,43(6):1116-1120

选取ECMWF和T639的2013年1月至2014年12月的数值预报场构造预报因子,基于神经网络、支持向量机和构造函数的非线性方法,预报地面逐时气温。试验结果显示,在单个方法预报误差较大时,3种方法的偏差订正集成方法更利于减小误差,通过偏差订正,3种非线性方法预报效果良好,平均绝对误差减小了0.5 ℃。在近1年独立样本的预报检验中,集成方法、神经网络、支持向量机和构造函数预报的平均绝对误差分别为1.5 ℃、1.7 ℃、1．8 ℃和1．4 ℃,总体上构造函数预报更为准确。  相似文献   

Data selection using support vector regression     

Michael B.RICHMAN  Lance M.LESLIE  Theodore B.TRAFALIS  Hicham MANSOURI 《大气科学进展》2015,32(3):277-286

Geophysical data sets are growing at an ever-increasing rate, requiring computationally efficient data selection(thinning)methods to preserve essential information. Satellites, such as Wind Sat, provide large data sets for assessing the accuracy and computational efficiency of data selection techniques. A new data thinning technique, based on support vector regression(SVR), is developed and tested. To manage large on-line satellite data streams, observations from Wind Sat are formed into subsets by Voronoi tessellation and then each is thinned by SVR(TSVR). Three experiments are performed. The first confirms the viability of TSVR for a relatively small sample, comparing it to several commonly used data thinning methods(random selection, averaging and Barnes filtering), producing a 10% thinning rate(90% data reduction), low mean absolute errors(MAE) and large correlations with the original data. A second experiment, using a larger dataset, shows TSVR retrievals with MAE < 1 m s-1and correlations 0.98. TSVR was an order of magnitude faster than the commonly used thinning methods. A third experiment applies a two-stage pipeline to TSVR, to accommodate online data. The pipeline subsets reconstruct the wind field with the same accuracy as the second experiment, is an order of magnitude faster than the nonpipeline TSVR. Therefore, pipeline TSVR is two orders of magnitude faster than commonly used thinning methods that ingest the entire data set. This study demonstrates that TSVR pipeline thinning is an accurate and computationally efficient alternative to commonly used data selection techniques.  相似文献   

基于球结构支持向量机的QuickBird影像分类分析     

林超  杨敏华 《测绘工程》2011,20(3):46-49

在支持向量机多类识别基础上探讨以球结构替代传统超平面支持向量机对QuickBird影像进行分类的可行性,对重叠区域的数据分类采用新规则,提高球结构支持向量机算法的泛化性能,并将分类结果与最小距离法、最大似然法分类结果进行比较,实验结果表明该算法有效可行,降低了二次规划的复杂度,缩短了样本训练时间.  相似文献   

基于BJ -1小卫星遥感数据的矿区土地覆盖变化检测   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2  

陈宇  杜培军  唐伟成  柳思聪 《国土资源遥感》2011,(3):146-150

为了评价利用北京一号小卫星(BJ-I)遥感数据监测煤矿区土地利用/地表覆盖变化的效果,针对其数据特点,选择基于图像信息运算和图像信息变换的直接变化检洲法以及分类后比较法,对徐州东矿区2007～2008年土地利用/地表覆盖变化情况进行检测,以对比、评价各种方法在土地利用/地表覆盖变化检测中的应用效果和BJ -1数据的适用...  相似文献   

单基站CORS系统在中小区域测绘中的应用探讨     

陈明华  吴遇文 《四川测绘》2011,(3):131-133

本文对单基站CORS系统的建设和应用进行了探讨,通过单基站CORS系统在成都市龙泉驿区的建设使用情况和数据检验分析,表明单基站CORS系统完全可以胜任中小区域中的一般测量工作。其作业的有效范围广,在保证测量精度的前提下,提高了作业效率,降低了劳动强度和生产成本。  相似文献   

支持向量机在GPS高程异常中的应用     

谢波  刘连旺 《测绘科学》2011,36(1):172-174

本文论述了支持向量机的回归算法,提出了基于支持向量机的GPS高程异常拟合方法,并在MATLAB中编制了相应的支持向量机程序,建立了相应的GPS高程异常模型.以实例数据讨论了基于支持向量机的GPS高程异常分析方法.研究表明:用支持向量机技术建立GPS高程异常模型是可行的和有效的.  相似文献   

Terrestrial laser scanning to estimate plot-level forest canopy fuel properties     

Mariano García  F. Mark Danson  David Riaño  Emilio Chuvieco  F. Alberto Ramirez  Vishal Bandugula 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2011

This paper evaluates the potential of a terrestrial laser scanner (TLS) to characterize forest canopy fuel characteristics at plot level. Several canopy properties, namely canopy height, canopy cover, canopy base height and fuel strata gap were estimated. Different approaches were tested to avoid the effect of canopy shadowing on canopy height estimation caused by deployment of the TLS below the canopy. Estimation of canopy height using a grid approach provided a coefficient of determination of R² = 0.81 and an RMSE of 2.47 m. A similar RMSE was obtained using the 99th percentile of the height distribution of the highest points, representing the 1% of the data, although the coefficient of determination was lower (R² = 0.70). Canopy cover (CC) was estimated as a function of the occupied cells of a grid superimposed upon the TLS point clouds. It was found that CC estimates were dependent on the cell size selected, with 3 cm being the optimum resolution for this study. The effect of the zenith view angle on CC estimates was also analyzed. A simple method was developed to estimate canopy base height from the vegetation vertical profiles derived from an occupied/non-occupied voxels approach. Canopy base height was estimated with an RMSE of 3.09 m and an R² = 0.86. Terrestrial laser scanning also provides a unique opportunity to estimate the fuel strata gap (FSG), which has not been previously derived from remotely sensed data. The FSG was also derived from the vegetation vertical profile with an RMSE of 1.53 m and an R² = 0.87.  相似文献   

Using snakes for the registration of topographic road database objects to ALS features     

Jens Göpfert  Franz Rottensteiner  Christian Heipke 《ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing》2011,66(6):858-871

For historical reasons many national mapping agencies store their topographic data in a dual system consisting of a Digital Landscape Model (DLM) and a Digital Terrain Model (DTM). The DLM contains 2D vector data representing objects on the Earth’s surface, such as roads and rivers, whereas the DTM is a 2.5D representation of the related height information, often acquired by Airborne Laser Scanning (ALS). Today, many applications require reliable 3D topographic data. Therefore, it is advantageous to convert the dual system into a 3D DLM. However, as a result of different methods of acquisition, processing, and modelling, the registration of the two data sets often presents difficulties. Thus, a straightforward integration of the DTM and DLM might lead to inaccurate and semantically incorrect 3D objects.In this paper we propose a new method for the fusion of the two data sets that exploits parametric active contours (also called snakes), focusing on road networks. For that purpose, the roads from a DLM initialise the snakes, defining their topology and their internal energy, whereas ALS features exert external forces to the snake via the image energy. After the optimisation process the shape and position of the snakes should coincide with the ALS features. With respect to the robustness of the method several known modifications of snakes are combined in a consistent framework for DLM road network adaptation. One important modification redefines the standard internal energy and thus the geometrical model of the snake in order to prevent changes in shape or position not caused by significant features in the image energy. For this purpose, the initial shape is utilized creating template-like snakes with the ability of local adaptation. This is one crucial point towards the applicability of the entire method considering the strongly varying significance of the ALS features. Other concepts related to snakes are integrated which enable our method to model network and ribbon-like characteristics simultaneously. Additionally, besides ALS road features information about context objects, such as bridges and buildings, is introduced as part of the image energy to support the optimisation process. Meaningful examples are presented that emphasize and evaluate the applicability of the proposed method.  相似文献   

相空间重构在滑坡预测中的应用     

汤俊  邹自力  张晓平 《地理空间信息》2011,9(1):139-142

针对滑坡位移时间序列的非线性特性,引入基于相空间重构和最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)的预测法.利用Cao氏方法确定嵌入维数,根据互信息法计算最佳延迟时间;然后在相空间中,利用最小二乘支持向量机(LSSVM)建立预测模型,对滑坡进行了实证计算,且与LSSVM模型和BP神经网络模型进行了比较.结果表明,模型具有较高的精度...  相似文献